Lab10YR — Soil Intelligence

The Data Behind Shrink-Swell Soils and Foundation Failure

Expansive soils cost U.S. homeowners over 15 billion dollars per year. Foundation damage is the culprit. This damage, caused by shrink-swell soils, is well understood by soil scientists. The risk is already mapped in the SSURGO dataset for

Shrink-swell risk class — 100 map units
Very High
High
Moderate
Low
31%
of U.S. map units at High or Very High
shrink-swell (COLE) risk class

Expansive soils cost U.S. homeowners over 15 billion dollars per year. Foundation damage is the culprit. This damage, caused by shrink-swell soils, is well understood by soil scientists. The risk is already mapped in the SSURGO dataset for every county, a valuable resource for homebuilders, foundation engineers, and property insurers. According to SSURGO data, 13.3% of rated map units carry a Fragile or higher FSI rating, indicating a significant level of foundation damage risk. Foundation failure is a major concern for homeowners and the insurance industry, and for good reason.

Nevada, Arizona, and Utah have the highest average FSI values, at 0.521, 0.495, and 0.405 respectively. Homes built in these areas are more likely to experience foundation damage due to the soil's shrink-swell properties. The data reveals a clear pattern: 71.6% of rated map units show Moderately high or High organic matter depletion risk, exacerbating the problem. The national average Fragile Soil Index value is 0.272, indicating widespread risk. The risk is real. This has significant implications for the insurance industry and homebuilders, who must consider soil conditions when assessing risk and designing foundations. It's not simple. SSURGO data can inform these decisions, helping to mitigate the risk of foundation failure and reduce the financial burden on homeowners. Many homes are built without considering soil conditions.

What SSURGO Reveals

The cost of foundation repair is high. Very high. Foundation engineers can use SSURGO data to design more resilient foundations. Property insurers can use it to assess risk more accurately. Homebuilders can choose building sites less prone to foundation damage. The SSURGO dataset is a powerful tool. Go to lab10yr.com to learn more about using SSURGO to inform decisions and reduce the risk of foundation failure.

Shrink-Swell Soil Hazard — Share of High/Very High COLE Class by State

SSURGO Linear Extensibility (COLE) ratings — 315,543 map units
Source: 315,543 map units

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Where Exposure Is Highest

Top states — % of map units at High/Very High shrink-swell risk (COLE class)

Shrink-Swell Soil Hazard — Structural Damage Exposure

% of map units rated High or Very High COLE class · Source: SSURGO national dataset
Texas 58%, Oklahoma 51%, Mississippi 47%, Alabama 43%, Louisiana 40%, Georgia 36%, Kansas 32%, California 28%
Interactive map — hover for state-level data · click to open the full risk map

The Actuarial Gap

🗺 Explore the Soil Risk Map →
County-level shrink-swell risk, FSI, and OM depletion across the continental U.S. — with live SSURGO data lookup.
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